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{ Category Archives } Futurist

The Future of Software System Correctness

A few weeks ago I re-read Tanenbaum et al.’s 2006 article Can We Make Operating Systems Reliable and Secure. They begin by observing that it would be nice if our general-purpose operating systems were as reliable as our cars and televisions. Unfortunately, Tanenbaum’s vision is being realized in the worst way: as the amount of [...]

Sensor Network Technology in Vinge’s A Deepness in the Sky

An important function of science fiction is to help us understand sociological, technological, and other aspects of our future. A really good SF novel — like some of those produced by Asimov, Clarke, Heinlein, Le Guin, Niven, and Vinge — is so full of ideas and possibilities that the reader’s mind is expanded a little. [...]

The Future of Compiler Correctness

Notes: This piece is mainly about compilers used for safety-critical or otherwise-critical systems. The intersection of formal methods and compilers for scripting languages is the empty set. Readers may be interested in a companion piece The Future of Compiler Optimization. A half-century of experience in developing compilers has not resulted in a body of widely-used [...]

The Future of Compiler Optimization

Also see The Future of Compiler Correctness. Compiler optimizations are great: developers can write intuitive code in high-level languages, and still have them execute in a reasonably fast way. On the other hand, progress in optimization research is excruciatingly slow despite hundreds of papers being published on the topic every year. Proebsting’s Law speculates that [...]

Book Review: Sustainable Energy — Without the Hot Air

The premises are simple.  First, energy consumption must be met by energy production.  Second, use of fossil fuels is unsustainable.  Third, no magical technological fix to the energy problem is going to arrive.  Finally, to understand a sustainable future, we must think quantitatively.  That is, to proceed with a debate about, for example, wind or [...]

A New Life Awaits You in the Off-World Colonies

As a recipient of research funding from the US government, I sometimes think about how this resource should be allocated.  Wikipedia claims that for most developed countries, research funding amounts to 1.5% to 3% of GDP, so we are talking about a lot of money here.  Appropriate focusing of this funding can change the world [...]

Computer Science Fiction

Science fiction explores the effect of technological progress on society.  It is ironic, then, that the majority of SF authors miserably failed to predict the impact of computers and information technology. Why does Google return no meaningful hits for “computer science fiction?”  Is it not obvious that this term needs to exist, if we wish [...]